Naked Electoral Fraud (I)
Updated: Sep 10, 2021
The Secrets of the Venezuelan Voting System: The way out of the Venezuelan crisis cannot be electoral when the voting system itself is in itself a problem, since it is part of the strategy used by the ruling party to perpetuate itself in power.
By Maibort Petit
September 8, 2021
A little more than two decades after Chavismo was imposed in Venezuela in the 1998 elections, granting the triumph to Hugo Chávez, the nation is debating in the search for a solution to the crisis that has been suffered since that date. Since then, neo-Totalitarianism began to establish itself in the country – despite the fact that some only call it authoritarianism – filling it with opprobrium and without Venezuelans having been able to find a way to get rid of it. An electoral exit is insisted on, even though the voting system is marked – since the implementation of automation – by the shadow of fraud.
The knowledge, long experience and research he has developed around the Venezuelan voting system, have led Guillermo Salas to launch a series of warnings about what the ruling party, the government and the National Electoral Council (CNE), qualify as the most modern and secure electoral system in the world. Salas is a physicist graduated from the Simón Bolívar University, with a master's degree in the same specialty and the same house of studies; is the founder of the electoral comptroller organization Esdata;expert in analysis of electoral fraud from the point of view of science.
UNLOCKING THE ELECTORAL FRAUD OF THE 21ST CENTURY IN VENEZUELA CHAVISTA This is a great show. It is in spanish, but it does have spanish subtitles , if you set it up that way. well worth the effort.
Currently, the regime of Nicolás Maduro and the opposition are in a process of negotiation in Mexico and before an eventual regional and municipal elections of governors, mayors, legislators and counselors that will take place on November 21 of this year 2021, because as noted above, multiple sectors believe that the elections are the way to overcome the conflict, but is it possible that the exit is electoral when the voting system itself is part of the problem, having constituted the strategy implemented by the ruling party to perpetuate itself in power?
That is why it is absolutely necessary that Venezuelans know the reality of the system in order to assume the solution to the serious crisis that the country is suffering, which, in addition, threatens to expand throughout Latin America.
OAS Unmasks Fraud in Bolivia
To decipher the electoral frauds of the 21st century, Guillermo Salas refers, in the first place, to the OAS report on the general elections of Bolivia in 2019,which collects the irregularities observed by the body in the elections of the country of the altiplano. For the expert, understanding what happened in Bolivia in that year and in all the Venezuelan elections since 2004 when the automated voting system was implemented, is vital to be able to undertake a solution.
The aforementioned OAS report deals with the elections of October 20, 2019, in which Evo Morales intended to be re-elected as president in the first round of elections. Bolivian law stipulates that in order for a candidate for president to be proclaimed the winner, it is necessary for him to reach 50 percent of the valid votes. In case it exceeds 40 percent and there is a difference of 10 percent or more over the second, a runoff or second round of elections is required.
the first allegations of fraud
Multiple denunciations marked these elections in which the adversaries of Morales and various organizations, political parties and sectors of society, sang electoral fraud when without any explanation, the unofficial transmission of quick count was interrupted, which with the count at 83.76 percent, although it showed an advantage of the president, did not meet the percentage required by law to avoid the second round of elections.
How was the electoral fraud done and who is behind it?
That is why the OAS sent a commission to investigate because of the large protests by the Bolivian opposition and found that "The parallel and uncontrolled technological scheme that was deliberately created facilitated an environment that would allow the manipulation of data, impersonation of minutes or any maneuver, facilitated by the volatility of digital evidence."
The OAS report points out at the end that, "In conclusion, our analysis of the data from the 2019 Bolivian Elections makes it clear that Evo Morales' first-round victory was statistically unlikely, and that his proclamation was given by a massive and inexplicable increase in MAS votes in the final 5% of the count. Without that increase, although the MAS would have won the majority of the votes, it would not have obtained the 10% difference necessary to avoid the second round. This increase occurred from marked breaks in the voting trend lines of the ruling party and CC, at the national and departmental level. The size of the ruptures is extremely unusual and puts the credibility of the process in doubt."
Salas warns that the digital system makes electoral fraud too easy and clarifies that, although in Bolivia's 2019 elections the vote was manual, the totalization of the results was done electronically. "The fraud was executed in the totalization of the votes."
Among the findings of the evaluation of the process, the OAS found, in the first place, the "Intentional and arbitrary paralysis, without technical foundations, of the Preliminary Results Transmission System (TREP) at the time when 83.76% of the verified and disclosed minutes were taken, of 89.34% of the minutes that had already been transmitted and were in the TREP system. The TSE deliberately concealed from the public 5.58% of the minutes that were already in the TREP system but were not published."
And then it highlights the "Introduction of servers not foreseen in the technological infrastructure (servers called BO11 and BO202), to which the flow of information from the TREP was intentionally diverted".
That is, all the data that had to be totaled in the central computer of the electoral office, were transferred to other servers where the results were manipulated. This led to the last minute changing the results and giving the victory in the first round to Evo Morales.
to be continued..... see your next blog...
Vol. 26, No. 4, November 2011
Published by: Institute of Mathematical Statistics
Gustavo Delfino and Guillermo Salas
This is a very technical analysis on which the science for our reporting is based on.